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2024-12-14 08:54:47

Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Foreign media: Romania and Bulgaria have officially joined the Schengen area since 2025. According to Agence France-Presse, on the 12th local time, the European Commission approved that Bulgaria and Romania will officially become members of the Schengen area from January 1st, 2025. According to reports, Hungarian Interior Minister Pinter Shan Duoer said, "Welcome Bulgaria and Romania to join the Schengen area ... This is a historic moment." According to reports, Romania and Bulgaria became EU members in 2007. In March 2024, the two countries partially joined the Schengen area, and only the air and maritime border controls were cancelled. In November, the EU completed the final step of approving the two countries to join the Schengen area. (Zhongxin. com)Morgan Stanley upgraded Hongyuan Green Energy Co., Ltd. to parity.


It's a mystery to say "no" to the influx of large amounts of funds, and the public offering products are setting off a wave of "restricted purchases". Whether it is an active equity fund, a debt-based fund or QDII fund, many outstanding products have recently announced the suspension of large-scale subscription, and even some funds have chosen to directly adjust the subscription threshold to 0 yuan and suspend all subscription operations. Some insiders said that there is another mystery for fund companies to suspend large-scale subscriptions. As the end of the year approaches, the market gradually enters the stage of differentiation. At this time, the purchase restriction is likely to come from the consideration that the fund manager hopes that the capital side will be more stable. (CSI)Euronext: Due to an accident in the waterway, the delivery point along the Mosel River of the February 2025 rapeseed futures (COMG5) contract will be unavailable until further notice.Verification of insider trading between Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities: 11 insiders involved in buying and selling A-shares, including executives and their families. Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities both announced that insider information related to this transaction bought and sold A-shares of Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities. The situation was verified, involving 11 related natural persons buying and selling A-shares of Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities. Including Han Zhida, vice president of Guotai Junan, Zhao Hong, chief auditor of Guotai Junan, Xiong Xiaohua, mother of Shen Yun, supervisor of Guotai Junan, Huang Guan Tu, father of Huang Wenxin, employee of Guotai Junan, and Zhou Yang, spouse of Lv Na, an overseas legal consultant of Haitong Securities and a consultant lawyer of Gao Weishen Law Firm. According to relevant documents, based on the verification scope of insider information of this transaction and the self-inspection of relevant institutions and personnel, and on the premise that the self-inspection report, relevant explanations and commitments and interview confirmation information issued by the insider information are true, accurate and complete, the buying and selling of A shares of Guotai Junan and/or Haitong Securities by the above-mentioned relevant institutions and personnel during the self-inspection period does not constitute insider trading, and their buying and selling of shares will not constitute a substantial legal obstacle to this transaction.


The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)Brazil's Vale: An agreement was reached with the US Department of Energy to provide $282.9 million in financing for the Louisiana plant until 2031.The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. (SSE)

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